Chris Rodesch vs Dusan Lajovic — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
LUX
Chris Rodesch
#179ATP
1652ELO
1596Grass ELO
$162kYTD
$423kCAREER
24 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWLWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Dusan Lajovic
SRB
Dusan Lajovic
#153ATP
1628ELO
1492Grass ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWLLW
Rodesch C.
vs
Lajovic D.

Chris Rodesch faces Dusan Lajovic in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Dusan Lajovic holds the paper edge — ranked #153, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Rodesch C.70%
Lajovic D.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rodesch C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rodesch C.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Lajovic D.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+104 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1492
5.3Overall Elo 1652
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1628
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
3.9Won 32% in GBR (22)
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Rodesch C.Stable
Lajovic D.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
Rodesch C.Lajovic D.
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodesch C.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Lajovic D.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rodesch C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Rodesch C.Lajovic D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
95
Break points won·Dominant
5
36
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Rodesch C.Lajovic D.
Freshness·Even
92
91

Rodesch C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersQ2clayDusan Lajovic6-4 6-4

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Comesana F.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-754-6
Moreno De Alboran N.
Mayot H.
2-62-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Kwon S.
6-773-6
Brancaccio R.
Gea A.
5-73-6
Faria J.
Grenier H.
6-36-3
Lajal M.
Pavlovic L.
4-64-6
Chidekh C.
Dougaz A.
4-64-6
Matusevich A.
Sakamoto R.
6-766-33-6
Yunchaokete B.
Dellien H.
6-46-0
Gomez F.
Tabur C.
3-64-6
Giustino L.
Onclin G.
3-65-7
Sachko V.
Mochizuki S.
3-66-74
Wong C.
Gojo B.
6-7102-6
Andrade A.
Smith C.
3-66-43-6
Djere L.
Houkes M.
6-47-5
Squire H.
Zheng M.
2-66-73
Gaston H.
Midon L.
4-66-36-4
Cadenasso G.
Cina F.
3-62-6
Smith K.
Ficovich J.
6-17-64
Butvilas E.
Echargui M.
6-35-73-6
Basilashvili N.
Ymer E.
6-23-66-78
Skatov T.
Barrena A.
6-37-64
Guerrieri A.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Jacquet K.
1-66-73
Llamas Ruiz P.
Added D.
6-26-4
Bailly G.
Martin Tiffon P.
4-64-6
Boyer T.
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Clarke J.
Pellegrino A.
6-26-754-6
Budkov Kjaer N.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-46-766-1
Dodig M.
Ferreira Silva F.
3-67-607-65
Noguchi R.
Nardi L.
2-63-6
Virtanen O.
Martinez P.
6-41-66-1
Rocha H.
Mejia N.
4-67-662-6
Tseng C.
Heide G.
6-784-6
Prado Angelo J.
Evans D.
6-723-6
Monday J.
Schoolkate T.
5-73-6
Maestrelli F.
Basing M.
6-46-724-6
Gentzsch T.
Kolar Z.
6-36-3
Draxl L.
Bertola R.
6-26-731-6
Crawford O.
Rodionov J.
4-64-6
Sweeny D.
Roncadelli F.
6-46-2
Blanch D.
Blanchet U.
Herbert P.
Jubb P.
5-76-76
Cecchinato M.
Barrios Vera T.
6-723-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Galarneau A.
2-62-6
Tarvet O.
Bolt A.
7-637-5
Coria F.
Bonding O.
7-656-2
Hsu Y.
Sakellaridis S.
4-62-6
Mcdonald M.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-26-756-3
M. Ceban
Carballes Baena R.
2-64-6
Uchida K.
Tomic B.
3-62-6
Schwaerzler J.
C. O'Connell
6-734-6
Gaubas V.
Mmoh M.
4-66-36-2
Zhang Z.
Searle H.
3-64-6
Bax F.
Rodesch C.
7-641-64-6
Neumayer L.
Lajovic D.
4-64-6
Safiullin R.
Mccabe J.
6-37-64
Glinka D.
Coppejans K.
4-63-6
Kym J.
Bueno G.
4-67-56-1
Broady L.
Holmgren A.
6-766-45-7
Travaglia S.
Mikrut L.
7-57-63
Den Ouden G.
Zhou Y.
4-64-6
Piros Z.
Ivanov I.
6-26-2
Napolitano S.
Harris B.
2-62-6
Moro Canas A.
Mayot H.
Kwon S.
Gea A.
Faria J.
Pavlovic L.
Dougaz A.
Sakamoto R.
Yunchaokete B.
Tabur C.
Onclin G.
Mochizuki S.
Gojo B.
Smith C.
Djere L.
Zheng M.
Gaston H.
Cina F.
Smith K.
Echargui M.
Ymer E.
Skatov T.
Guerrieri A.
Jacquet K.
Llamas Ruiz P.
Martin Tiffon P.
Boyer T.
Pellegrino A.
Budkov Kjaer N.
Dodig M.
Nardi L.
Virtanen O.
Mejia N.
Heide G.
Evans D.
Schoolkate T.
Basing M.
Gentzsch T.
Bertola R.
Rodionov J.
Sweeny D.
—
Jubb P.
Barrios Vera T.
Galarneau A.
Tarvet O.
Coria F.
Sakellaridis S.
Mcdonald M.
Carballes Baena R.
Tomic B.
C. O'Connell
Gaubas V.
Searle H.
Rodesch C.
Lajovic D.
Safiullin R.
Coppejans K.
Kym J.
Holmgren A.
Travaglia S.
Zhou Y.
Piros Z.
Harris B.