Chris Rodesch vs Dusan LajovicWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#150ATP
1622ELO
1557Grass ELO
$163kYTD
$424kCAREER
25 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#149ATP
1620ELO
1488Grass ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLWLW
Rodesch C.
2-6 4-6
Lajovic D.
Rodesch C.
240
Lajovic D.
662

Dusan Lajovic defeated Chris Rodesch in the semifinals of Wimbledon. Lajovic won the match 6-2, 6-4, breaking Rodesch's serve four times while Rodesch broke Lajovic's serve once. The win advanced Lajovic to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersQ2clayDusan Lajovic6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
41
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Clear edge
5
18
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Rodesch C.70%
Lajovic D.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rodesch C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1450
3.9Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1686
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.15 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
76

Rodesch C.: 17 days rest · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw