Borna Gojo vs Colton Smith — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Borna Gojo
CRO
Borna Gojo
#181ATP
1682ELO
1468Grass ELO
$139kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWWWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
USA
Colton Smith
#188ATP
1581ELO
1559Grass ELO
$152kYTD
$478kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10
WLWLLWWWWW
Gojo B.
vs
Smith C.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Gojo B.59%
Smith C.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gojo B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gojo B.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Smith C.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1468
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Grass Elo edge
6.3Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1581
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gojo B.Cooling
Smith C.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Gojo B.Smith C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.6
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gojo B.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Smith C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Gojo B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Gojo B.Smith C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
62
Break points saved·Even
95
94
Break points won·Dominant
10
52
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Gojo B.Smith C.
Freshness·
—
85

Smith C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Comesana F.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-754-6
Moreno De Alboran N.
Mayot H.
2-62-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Kwon S.
6-773-6
Brancaccio R.
Gea A.
5-73-6
Faria J.
Grenier H.
6-36-3
Lajal M.
Pavlovic L.
4-64-6
Chidekh C.
Dougaz A.
4-64-6
Matusevich A.
Sakamoto R.
6-766-33-6
Yunchaokete B.
Dellien H.
6-46-0
Gomez F.
Tabur C.
3-64-6
Giustino L.
Onclin G.
3-65-7
Sachko V.
Mochizuki S.
3-66-74
Wong C.
Gojo B.
6-7102-6
Andrade A.
Smith C.
3-66-43-6
Djere L.
Houkes M.
6-47-5
Squire H.
Zheng M.
2-66-73
Gaston H.
Midon L.
4-66-36-4
Cadenasso G.
Cina F.
3-62-6
Smith K.
Ficovich J.
6-17-64
Butvilas E.
Echargui M.
6-35-73-6
Basilashvili N.
Ymer E.
6-23-66-78
Skatov T.
Barrena A.
6-37-64
Guerrieri A.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Jacquet K.
1-66-73
Llamas Ruiz P.
Added D.
6-26-4
Bailly G.
Martin Tiffon P.
4-64-6
Boyer T.
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Clarke J.
Pellegrino A.
6-26-754-5
Budkov Kjaer N.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-46-766-1
Dodig M.
Ferreira Silva F.
3-61-0
Noguchi R.
Nardi L.
2-63-6
Virtanen O.
Martinez P.
6-41-66-1
Rocha H.
Mejia N.
4-62-3
Tseng C.
Heide G.
1-1
Prado Angelo J.
Evans D.
6-723-6
Monday J.
Schoolkate T.
5-73-6
Maestrelli F.
Basing M.
6-46-62
Gentzsch T.
Kolar Z.
Draxl L.
Bertola R.
1-2
Crawford O.
Rodionov J.
4-5
Sweeny D.
Roncadelli F.
6-46-2
Blanch D.
Blanchet U.
Herbert P.
Jubb P.
Cecchinato M.
Barrios Vera T.
6-5
Diaz Acosta F.
Galarneau A.
2-62-6
Tarvet O.
Bolt A.
7-637-5
Coria F.
Bonding O.
7-656-2
Hsu Y.
Sakellaridis S.
4-62-6
Mcdonald M.
Meligeni Alves F.
M. Ceban
Carballes Baena R.
2-1
Uchida K.
Tomic B.
Schwaerzler J.
C. O'Connell
Gaubas V.
Mmoh M.
1-0
Zhang Z.
Searle H.
1-1
Bax F.
Rodesch C.
7-640-0
Neumayer L.
Lajovic D.
2-2
Safiullin R.
Mccabe J.
6-37-64
Glinka D.
Coppejans K.
4-63-6
Kym J.
Bueno G.
4-67-56-1
Broady L.
Holmgren A.
6-766-42-2
Travaglia S.
Mikrut L.
7-57-63
Den Ouden G.
Zhou Y.
4-64-6
Piros Z.
Ivanov I.
6-26-2
Napolitano S.
Harris B.
2-62-6