Elias Ymer vs Timofey Skatov — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Elias Ymer
SWE
Elias Ymer
#208ATP
1548ELO
1502Grass ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Timofey Skatov
KAZ
Timofey Skatov
#147ATP
1544ELO
1484Grass ELO
$110kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWL
Ymer E.
4-6 1-6
Skatov T.
Ymer E.
410
Skatov T.
662

Timofey Skatov defeated Elias Ymer in the semifinals of Wimbledon. Skatov won the match 6-4, 6-1, securing four service breaks to Ymer's zero. With the victory, Skatov advanced to the final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ymer E.Skatov T.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ymer E.Skatov T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
18
Break points saved·Dominant
38
76
Break points won·Even
13
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ymer E.58%
Skatov T.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ymer E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ymer E.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Skatov T.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1510
5.6Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1590
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.3Won 55% in United Kingdom (20)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ymer E.Skatov T.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
78

Ymer E.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Skatov T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw