Roman Safiullin vs Jerome KymWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#103ATP
1750ELO
1627Grass ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#179ATP
1599ELO
1491Grass ELO
$98kYTD
$740kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Safiullin R.
4-6 7-6 3-6 7-6 6-4
Kym J.
Safiullin R.
473763
Kym J.
666642

Roman Safiullin defeated Jerome Kym in the Wimbledon final, 4-6, 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-4. Safiullin hit 6 aces and 4 double faults, while Kym had 10 aces and 5 double faults. Safiullin won 72% of his first-serve points, converted 25% of break points, and earned 1 service break, compared to Kym's 82% first-serve win percentage, 33% break point conversion, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
9.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
20
36
Break points saved·Even
93
91
Break points won·Even
18
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
22
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Safiullin R.78%
Kym J.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Safiullin R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+14 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1497
6.7Overall Elo 1764
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1626
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.74 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
92

Safiullin R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Kym J.: 11 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw