Paul Jubb vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
GBR
Paul Jubb
#375ATP
1426ELO
1445Grass ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Tomas Barrios Vera
CHI20
Tomas Barrios Vera
#145ATP
1615ELO
1563Grass ELO
$207kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLW
Jubb P.
4-6 6-3 1-6
Barrios Vera T.
Jubb P.
4611
Barrios Vera T.
6362

Tomas Barrios Vera defeated Paul Jubb in the semifinals of Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 victory. Barrios Vera secured 4 service breaks to Jubb's 2 en route to the win. The match marked Barrios Vera's progression to the next round.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Barrios Vera came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Jubb P.Barrios Vera T.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jubb P.Barrios Vera T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
37
16
Break points saved·Clear edge
84
71
Break points won·Even
6
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Jubb P.17%
Barrios Vera T.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Barrios Vera T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jubb P.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Barrios Vera T.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+11 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1536
3.8Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jubb P.Barrios Vera T.
Freshness·
—
93

Barrios Vera T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw