Laslo Djere vs Max Houkes — Wimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round

SRB

Laslo Djere

#225ATP

1709ELO

1577Grass ELO

31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWLLLLWW

—

Sets

Monday, 22 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

NED

Max Houkes

#231ATP

1486ELO

1409Grass ELO

25 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LLLLLLWWLL

Djere L.

Houkes M.

Laslo Djere faces Max Houkes in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Laslo Djere holds the paper edge — ranked #225, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC

Djere L.89%

Houkes M.11%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Djere L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Laslo Djere comes in with 2 days of rest and 141 games in 14d, vs Max Houkes's 15 and 0.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Laslo Djere has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 62 vs 24).
Stage: Laslo Djere defends last year's round of 128.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Djere L.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Houkes M.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

7.1+168 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.9Grass Elo 1409

7.8Overall Elo 1709

ELO gap

2.2Overall Elo 1486

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.75 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 5

Fatigue & Travel

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

6.0Reached the R128 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Djere L.Cooling

Houkes M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season

Djere L.Houkes M.

1st serve in·Even

61%

60%

1st serve points won·Even

69%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

49%

Service points won·Even

63%

60%

Return points won·Even

40%

41%

Break points saved·Even

59%

61%

Aces / match·Slight edge

3.1

3.7

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.7

2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Djere L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Houkes M.

Houkes M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Djere L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Djere L.Houkes M.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Clear edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Djere L.Houkes M.

Freshness·Dominant

100

Djere L.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 115 games (7d) · Houkes M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

26°CClear

Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.