Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur FeryWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#104ATP
1638ELO
1532Grass ELO
$525kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#118ATP
1698ELO
1567Grass ELO
$247kYTD
$786kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWL
Dzumhur D.
vs
Fery A.

Damir Dzumhur faces Arthur Fery in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Damir Dzumhur holds the paper edge — ranked #104, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Dzumhur D.29%
Fery A.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fery A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1532
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Grass Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1698
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.4Home country · 4/10 here
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fery A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Fery A.

Fery A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Serve advantage — Fery A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
53
Break points saved·Even
87
85
Break points won·Dominant
64
33
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
63

Dzumhur D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Fery A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final