Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander BublikWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#139ATP
1685ELO
1612Grass ELO
$264kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
0 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 3rd on
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLW
Jacquet K.
3-6 4-6 6-7
Bublik A.
Jacquet K.
34650
Bublik A.
66773

Alexander Bublik came through a 32-game battle to beat Kyrian Jacquet 6-3 6-4 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 64.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: Alexander Bublik broke serve.
  • Momentum: Alexander Bublik won five games in a row.
  • Set 3, game 4: Alexander Bublik saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Kyrian Jacquet converted 2 of 9 break points; Alexander Bublik converted 4 of 8 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Break points won
2/9
4/8
Break points saved
4/8
7/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jacquet K.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Jacquet K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
9.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
99
Break points won·Dominant
27
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Jacquet K.12%
Bublik A.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bublik A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO
7.5+200 Grass Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in GBR (29)
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
70

Jacquet K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 30%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final