Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian MarozsanWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#54ATP
1749ELO
1563Grass ELO
$714kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#62ATP
1746ELO
1561Grass ELO
$684kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLLLWL
Tirante T.
vs
Marozsan F.

Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Fabian Marozsan in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Thiago Agustin Tirante is the paper favourite — ranked #54 — but Fabian Marozsan rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Tirante T.55%
Marozsan F.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+2 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Grass Elo 1560
5.0Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1746
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tirante T.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Marozsan F.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tirante T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
72
Break points saved·Clear edge
85
97
Break points won·Slight edge
29
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
62

Tirante T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Marozsan F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final