Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Tabilo — Mallorca Round of 16
Marozsan F.
Fabian Marozsan faces Alejandro Tabilo in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Alejandro Tabilo holds the paper edge — ranked #33, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Tabilo A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Fabian Marozsan comes in with 4 days of rest and 68 games in 14d, vs Alejandro Tabilo's 6 and 18.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Alejandro Tabilo grades 57 on serve, Fabian Marozsan 36 on return.
- Last match: Fabian Marozsan dropped the opening set before beating Alex Molcan 2–6 7–6 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMarozsan F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.