Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian MarozsanWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#23ATP
1863ELO
1717Grass ELO
$844kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#53ATP
1752ELO
1585Grass ELO
$684kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWLLL
Davidovich Fokina A.
vs
Marozsan F.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Fabian Marozsan in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Davidovich Fokina A.78%
Marozsan F.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+132 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Grass Elo 1585
6.4Overall Elo 1863
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1752
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
7.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
5.0Won 50% in GBR (20)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Marozsan F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
71
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
95
36
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
58
62

Davidovich Fokina A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d) · Marozsan F.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-26MallorcaSFgrassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-5 2-6 4-6
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 4-6 6-1
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Kwon S.
Paul T.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.