Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovics — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ESP
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#23ATP
1863ELO
1717Grass ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWWL
—
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
Marton Fucsovics
HUN
Marton Fucsovics
#76ATP
1756ELO
1695Grass ELO
$550kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLLLLW
Davidovich Fokina A.
vs
Fucsovics M.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Marton Fucsovics in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #23, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Davidovich Fokina A.67%
Fucsovics M.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Davidovich Fokina A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Fucsovics M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1695
6.3Overall Elo 1863
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1756
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on grass
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.1Won 52% in GBR (21)
Country comfort
5.4Won 57% in GBR (30)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Davidovich Fokina A.Stable
Fucsovics M.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.Fucsovics M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Fucsovics M.

Fucsovics M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Davidovich Fokina A.Fucsovics M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
73
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
95
65
Deciding sets·Even
91
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Davidovich Fokina A.Fucsovics M.
Freshness·Dominant
57
93

Davidovich Fokina A.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 125 games (7d) · Fucsovics M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(3) 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-6(3)
2021-03-01RotterdamR16hardMarton Fucsovics6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-2 7.8-6.6 0-0
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-0 4-6 6-3 3-6 5-4
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
1-65-74-6
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.
Sinner J.
Brooksby J.
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Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
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Medvedev D.
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Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
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Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
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