Marton Fucsovics vs Learner TienWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#76ATP
1756ELO
1695Grass ELO
$527kYTD
$8.6MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLLLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#17ATP
1941ELO
1711Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWWW
Fucsovics M.
vs
Tien L.

Marton Fucsovics faces Learner Tien in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Learner Tien holds the paper edge — ranked #17, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Fucsovics M.26%
Tien L.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tien L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1695
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1756
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.3Won 55% in GBR (29)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

15 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
8.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fucsovics M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Fucsovics M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
90
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
65
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Fucsovics M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tien L.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
Paul T.
Merida Aguilar D.
Zheng M.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
Fonseca J.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.