Felix Auger Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicss Hertogenbosch Round of 16

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 16
#4ATP
1957ELO
1780Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$22MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWLLW
Sets
Thursday, 11 June 2026 ·
grass
#75ATP
1765ELO
1714Grass ELO
$411kYTD
$8.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLWWL

Felix Auger Aliassime faces Marton Fucsovics in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Auger Aliassime F.75%
Fucsovics M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Auger Aliassime F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+66 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1714
7.4Overall Elo 1957
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1765
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
15°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(3) 7-5
2024-10-14AntwerpR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardMarton Fucsovics7-6(3) 4-6 6-3
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(0) 6-3
2019-03-18Miami MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 4-6 6-0
2018-10-22ViennaR32hardMarton Fucsovics1-6 6-0 7-5

Statistics

Recent form
67%1st serve in+6%61%
77%1st serve points won+5%72%
55%2nd serve points won+5%50%
70%Service points won+7%63%
36%Return points won36%
63%Break points saved+3%60%
7.8Aces / match+3.54.3
2.3Double faults / match+0.42.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.