Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Tien L.
4-6 6-1 7-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Tien L.
46772
Davidovich Fokina A.
61641

Learner Tien defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-6 6-1 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 128. Learner Tien claimed a first win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tien L.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tien L.Davidovich Fokina A.
32
Serve
40
67
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
83
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1842
5.2Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1893
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Country comfort
4.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
70

Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%