Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno BustaMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#23ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-3 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Davidovich Fokina A.
662
Carreno Busta P.
330

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-3 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
95
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+46 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1767
6.6Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
Prev. match
9.0
6.9
Country comfort
6.5
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
89

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%