Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypson — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Taylor Fritz
USA
Taylor Fritz
#7ATP
1909ELO
1857Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Patrick Kypson
USA
Patrick Kypson
#113ATP
1641ELO
1483Grass ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLWWLL
Fritz T.
vs
Kypson P.

Taylor Fritz faces Patrick Kypson in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Taylor Fritz is the paper favourite — ranked #7, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 370-point grass Elo advantage — but Patrick Kypson rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Fritz T.94%
Kypson P.6%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fritz T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fritz T.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kypson P.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+374 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Grass Elo 1482
8.4Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.88 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.84 of last 9 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.9Won 65% in GBR (40)
Country comfort
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fritz T.Stable
Kypson P.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Fritz T.Kypson P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
71%
68%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Kypson P.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Fritz T.Kypson P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
93
Break points won·Clear edge
60
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
17
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Fritz T.Kypson P.
Freshness·
80
—

Fritz T.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.
6-16-753-60-0
Mensik J.
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.
Atmane T.
7-666-14-60-0
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-50-0
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Brooksby J.
Buse I.[31]
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
Kwon S.
Paul T.[21]
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.[16]
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
—
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
—
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
—
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.
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