Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli — Wimbledon Round of 128
ITA9
Navone M.
Flavio Cobolli defeated Mariano Navone 1-6 7-6 6-3 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.
Key context
- Match story: Flavio Cobolli dropped the opening set before beating Mariano Navone 1–6 7–6 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-22 | Umag | R32 | clay | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 6-3 |
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cobolli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadNavone M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About