Alexander Zverev vs Flavio CobolliMadrid Masters Quarter-final

Madrid Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#3ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Zverev A.
6-1 6-4
Cobolli F.
Zverev A.
662
Cobolli F.
140

Alexander Zverev defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-1 6-4 in the Madrid Masters quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-07Roland GarrosFclayAlexander Zverev1-6 6-4 4-6 7.7-6.5 1-6
2026-04-13MunichSFclayFlavio Cobolli6-3 6-3
2025-06-16HalleQFgrassAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(6)
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayAlexander Zverev6-2 7-6(4) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Zverev A.Cobolli F.
64
Serve
54
57
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.1
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
76
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
90
35
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+189 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1862
7.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1896
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.1
Surface form
7.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
45
56

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%