Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev — Roland Garros Final

Roland Garros · ATP · Final
ITA
Flavio Cobolli
#10ATP
1864ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.5MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
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2 — 3
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
clay
Court Philippe-Chatrier · 2nd on
GER
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2079ELO
2021Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$63MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
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It took 47 games for Alexander Zverev to get past Flavio Cobolli 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-7 6-1 in the Roland Garros final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: A 13-point game with four deuces went Alexander Zverev's way.
  • Momentum: Alexander Zverev won five games in a row.
  • Set 5, game 1: Alexander Zverev broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Flavio Cobolli converted 3 of 8 break points; Alexander Zverev converted 9 of 21 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC
Cobolli F.19%
Zverev A.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cobolli F.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Zverev A.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1830
Surface ELO
7.4+192 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1864
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 2079
3.9Trails 1–2 on clay
H2H
6.1Leads 2–1 on clay
7.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.06 three-setters in 14 days
5.8Won 62% in FRA (24)
Country comfort
6.6Won 77% in FRA (105)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Cobolli F.
1647712
Zverev A.
6466563

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
0.68
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev6-1 6-4
2026-04-13MunichSFclayFlavio Cobolli6-3 6-3
2025-06-16HalleQFgrassAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(6)
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayAlexander Zverev6-2 7-6(4) 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Cobolli F.Zverev A.
56%1st serve in+13%69%
74%1st serve points won+1%75%
52%2nd serve points won+4%56%
64%Service points won+5%69%
37%Return points won+2%39%
68%Break points saved+26%42%
5.8Aces / match+0.66.4
3.1Double faults / match+1.41.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Tabur C.
6-16-36-4
Fearnley J.
Cerundolo J.
2-66-706-77
Landaluce M.
Prado Angelo J.
6-34-66-26-736-4
Kopriva V.
Moutet C.
6-35-76-43-66-3
Rinderknech A.
Rodionov J.
7-656-26-3
Fucsovics M.
Berrettini M.
7-625-71-62-6
Quinn E.
Comesana F.
4-66-786-74
Ofner S.
Darderi L.
6-752-63-6
Bublik A.
Struff J.
5-77-664-65-7
Faria J.
Shapovalov D.
6-47-56-4
Munar J.
Hurkacz H.
3-63-66-23-6
Spizzirri E.
Tiafoe F.
3-67-654-63-6
Griekspoor T.
Arnaldi M.
7-693-66-763-6
Muller A.
Tsitsipas S.
2-60-3
Collignon R.
Vukic A.
6-36-37-64
Merida Aguilar D.
Shelton B.
3-63-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Altmaier D.
4-66-44-66-17-67
Baez S.
Burruchaga R.
6-25-72-60-2
Van Assche L.
Gaubas V.
6-46-22-67-5
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.
2-65-72-6
Norrie C.
Vallejo A.
6-770-2
Cilic M.
Kouame M.
6-742-61-6
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-36-4
Faurel T.
Vacherot V.
3-64-66-36-76
Cobolli F.
Pellegrino A.
6-47-646-3
Wu Y.
Giron M.
7-56-26-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Zhang Z.
6-16-46-3
Garin C.
Tien L.
0-66-20-62-6
Cerundolo F.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-46-776-4
Gaston H.
Monfils G.
6-26-33-62-66-0
Popyrin A.
Svajda Z.
6-33-66-735-7
Walton A.
Medvedev D.
6-21-66-11-66-4
De Minaur A.
Samuel T.
6-46-46-2
Blockx A.
Wong C.
6-36-46-2
Navone M.
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Droguet T.
Mensik J.
3-62-64-6
Etcheverry T.
Borges N.
3-64-62-6
Kecmanovic M.
Marozsan F.
7-606-36-4
Nava E.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-7103-63-6
Buse I.
Rublev A.
3-67-663-65-7
Ruud C.
Safiullin R.
6-27-655-70-66-2
Medjedovic H.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-716-4
Sonego L.
Herbert P.
7-635-76-21-66-4
Hijikata R.
Paul T.
6-43-65-74-6
Fonseca J.
Pavlovic L.
7-666-46-2
Zheng M.
Prizmic D.
1-61-63-6
Dellien H.
Royer V.
4-62-62-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Djokovic N.
7-55-71-64-6
Fritz T.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-757-691-6
Shevchenko A.
Michelsen A.
2-64-62-6
Duckworth J.
Diallo G.
6-34-1
Kovacevic A.
Jodar R.
1-60-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-32-67-56-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Tirante T.
3-66-767-650-6
Kokkinakis T.
Atmane T.
6-756-24-66-37-5
Carreno Busta P.
Lehecka J.
6-37-636-3
Khachanov K.
Gea A.
6-37-636-0
Jacquet K.
Trungelliti M.
4-62-62-6
Cina F.
Opelka R.
3-66-46-26-766-4
Wawrinka S.
De Jong J.
3-66-33-64-6
Humbert U.
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-3
Halys Q.
Bellucci M.
6-37-646-3
Machac T.
Bergs Z.
6-46-46-3
Bonzi B.
Zverev A.
3-64-62-6
Sinner J.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-25-71-61-6
Landaluce M.
Kopriva V.
1-62-66-47-56-0
Rinderknech A.
Berrettini M.
4-64-64-6
Comesana F.
Darderi L.
7-654-66-42-66-4
Struff J.
Faria J.
5-76-712-6
Hurkacz H.
Tiafoe F.
7-656-754-67-614-6
Arnaldi M.
Tsitsipas S.
7-625-76-36-2
Collignon R.
Shelton B.
6-47-56-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Burruchaga R.
4-66-07-56-1
Van Assche L.
Nakashima B.
7-654-67-51-63-6
Vallejo A.
Kouame M.
3-65-76-36-26-78
Tabilo A.
Vacherot V.
Cobolli F.
Wu Y.
6-46-46-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Tien L.
5-76-46-36-743-6
Cerundolo F.
Gaston H.
2-66-46-26-1
Svajda Z.
Walton A.
6-36-46-746-2
De Minaur A.
Blockx A.
Navone M.
Mensik J.
3-66-24-66-16-711
Borges N.
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-26-16-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Rublev A.
1-66-13-66-75
Ruud C.
Medjedovic H.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Paul T.
3-62-64-6
Fonseca J.
Prizmic D.
3-64-66-36-16-2
Royer V.
Djokovic N.
3-62-67-673-6
Basavareddy N.
Michelsen A.
6-753-66-33-6
Duckworth J.
Jodar R.
1-67-654-65-7
Davidovich Fokina A.
Tirante T.
6-46-741-63-6
Kokkinakis T.
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-40-1
Khachanov K.
Trungelliti M.
7-655-76-17-64
Cina F.
De Jong J.
3-61-63-6
Humbert U.
Halys Q.
4-66-746-78
Machac T.
Zverev A.
4-62-62-6
Cerundolo J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-777-646-747-68
Berrettini M.
Comesana F.
7-635-76-746-47-613
Faria J.
Tiafoe F.
6-47-626-741-62-6
Arnaldi M.
Collignon R.
6-46-755-76-47-64
Auger Aliassime F.
Nakashima B.
5-76-17-647-61
Kouame M.
Tabilo A.
6-43-64-66-79
Cobolli F.
Tien L.
6-26-26-3
Cerundolo F.
Svajda Z.
3-64-66-36-43-6
De Minaur A.
Mensik J.
6-02-62-63-6
Borges N.
Rublev A.
5-76-726-72
Ruud C.
Paul T.
4-66-746-47-647-5
Fonseca J.
Djokovic N.
4-64-66-37-57-5
Michelsen A.
Jodar R.
6-727-656-43-63-6
Tirante T.
Carreno Busta P.
6-705-76-34-6
Khachanov K.
De Jong J.
5-77-52-67-622-6
Halys Q.
Zverev A.
4-63-67-52-6
Cerundolo J.
Berrettini M.
3-66-726-76
Tiafoe F.
Arnaldi M.
6-757-656-36-734-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Tabilo A.
6-37-56-1
Cobolli F.
Svajda Z.
6-26-36-737-65
Mensik J.
Rublev A.
6-37-664-62-66-3
Ruud C.
Fonseca J.
5-76-787-52-6
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
4-64-66-16-26-2
De Jong J.
Zverev A.
6-734-61-6
Berrettini M.
Arnaldi M.
5-72-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Cobolli F.
6-44-64-64-6
Mensik J.
Fonseca J.
6-46-37-63
Jodar R.
Zverev A.
6-731-63-6
Arnaldi M.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.
Zverev A.
5-72-66-33-6
Cobolli F.
Zverev A.
1-66-44-67-651-6