Learner Tien vs Flavio CobolliBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 September 2025
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Tien L.
6-3 6-2
Cobolli F.
Tien L.
662
Cobolli F.
320

Learner Tien defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Learner Tien claimed a first win over Flavio Cobolli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-30Roland GarrosR32clayFlavio Cobolli6-2 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tien L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tien L.Cobolli F.
32
Serve
20
67
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.1
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
76
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
83
35
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+95 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1810
5.2Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
61

Tien L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 44%