James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
James Duckworth
AUS
James Duckworth
#79ATP
1640ELO
1560Grass ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLLL
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Flavio Cobolli
ITA
Flavio Cobolli
#10ATP
1896ELO
1742Grass ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWWWLL
Duckworth J.
vs
Cobolli F.

James Duckworth faces Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Flavio Cobolli holds the paper edge — ranked #10, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:22 UTC
Duckworth J.14%
Cobolli F.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cobolli F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Duckworth J.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Cobolli F.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1560
Surface ELO
7.3+182 Grass Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1896
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.9Won 48% in GBR (31)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Duckworth J.Stable
Cobolli F.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Duckworth J.Cobolli F.
1st serve in·Even
56%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Duckworth J.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Duckworth J.Cobolli F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
76
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
4
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Duckworth J.Cobolli F.
Freshness·Dominant
68
100

Duckworth J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13AlmatyQFhardJames Duckworth6-3 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardFlavio Cobolli6-1 4-6 6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7.8-6.6 6-1 4-6 5-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
7.7-6.4 7.7-6.2 2-1
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
6-3 3-6 2-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7.7-6.4 6.8-7.10 1-6 0-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-0 4-6 3-2
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
1-6 1-0
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
6-4 6.2-6.0
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.[19]
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.[15]
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.[20]
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
—
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.[10]
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.[2]
—
Brooksby J.
—
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
—
—
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—