James Duckworth vs Flavio CobolliWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#86ATP
1628ELO
1540Grass ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
1 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 3rd on
#10ATP
1896ELO
1742Grass ELO
$3.2MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWWL
Duckworth J.
6-7 6-3 6-7 1-6
Cobolli F.
Duckworth J.
66611
Cobolli F.
73763

Flavio Cobolli defeated James Duckworth in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Cobolli. Both players recorded 2 service breaks, 5 double faults, and an identical 81% first-serve win percentage; Cobolli served 16 aces to Duckworth's 8 and converted 33% of break points to Duckworth's 29%.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 3–6 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13AlmatyQFhardJames Duckworth6-3 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardFlavio Cobolli6-1 4-6 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.4
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
75
Break points saved·Even
92
95
Break points won·Dominant
1
38
Deciding sets·Dominant
21
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Duckworth J.14%
Cobolli F.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cobolli F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1560
Surface ELO
7.3+182 Grass Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1896
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.1Won 51% in United Kingdom (35)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
67

Duckworth J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw