Patrick Kypson vs Mackenzie McdonaldWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#115ATP
1641ELO
1483Grass ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 11 · 3rd on
#144ATP
1606ELO
1541Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWWL
Kypson P.
3-6 6-1 6-4 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Kypson P.
36663
Mcdonald M.
61441

Patrick Kypson defeated Mackenzie McDonald in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Kypson. Kypson hit 16 aces and committed 4 double faults, while McDonald had 8 aces and 7 double faults; Kypson won 5 service breaks to McDonald's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Dominant
41
73
Deciding sets·Slight edge
17
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Kypson P.48%
Mcdonald M.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1482
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Grass Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.83 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in United Kingdom (24)
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Mcdonald M.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw