Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Otto Virtanen
FINQ
Otto Virtanen
#116ATP
1706ELO
1688Grass ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 2nd on
Ben Shelton
USA4
Ben Shelton
#6ATP
1960ELO
1863Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Virtanen O.
6-4 3-6 6-7 6-2 7-6
Shelton B.
Virtanen O.
636673
Shelton B.
467262

Otto Virtanen defeated Ben Shelton in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 in favor of Virtanen. Virtanen hit 14 aces and committed 6 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 3 service breaks.

Around the match

  • “I don't know if I have a heart anymore – it probably bounced out of my body, but I'm here. I played until the last moment because of you all.”

    Virtanen O.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “I had a great month before this one and played a lot of grass matches. I've always enjoyed playing here. Last year I unfortunately missed it through injury.”

    Virtanen O.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “One of the toughest losses I've taken, for sure. First time I've lost in the first round here. The guy came up with some ridiculous stuff in those moments.”

    Shelton B.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Otto Virtanen closed it out in five sets, 6–4 3–6 6–7 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Virtanen O.Shelton B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
60%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
75%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.1
11.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Virtanen O.Shelton B.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
100
Break points won·Dominant
1
47
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Virtanen O.14%
Shelton B.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Shelton B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Virtanen O.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Shelton B.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Grass Elo 1694
Surface ELO
7.1+169 Grass Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1960
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Virtanen O.Shelton B.
Freshness·Clear edge
90
72

Virtanen O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw