Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Arthur Rinderknech
FRA
Arthur Rinderknech
#28ATP
1780ELO
1645Grass ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLWWL
—
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
Novak Djokovic
SRB
Novak Djokovic
#8ATP
2059ELO
1925Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLWWL
Rinderknech A.
vs
Djokovic N.

Arthur Rinderknech faces Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Novak Djokovic holds the paper edge — ranked #8, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 280-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC
Rinderknech A.9%
Djokovic N.91%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Djokovic N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rinderknech A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Grass Elo 1645
Surface ELO
8.5+280 Grass Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 2059
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.4Won 57% in GBR (23)
Country comfort
7.2Won 87% in GBR (132)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
8.5Reached the semis here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Rinderknech A.Stable
Djokovic N.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
Rinderknech A.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
39%
Break points saved·Even
69%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.2
7.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Rinderknech A.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
99
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
6
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Rinderknech A.Djokovic N.
Freshness·Even
70
73

Rinderknech A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-31-62-1
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-27-667-5
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
6-46-766-757-660-0
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
7-626-37-5
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-04-66-33-67-65
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
1-65-74-6
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
3-64-62-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.
Sinner J.
Brooksby J.
—
Mochizuki S.
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
—
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
Safiullin R.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Djokovic N.
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