Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur RinderknechShanghai Masters Final

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Final
#20ATP
1903ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
Vacherot V.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Rinderknech A.
Vacherot V.
4662
Rinderknech A.
6331

Valentin Vacherot defeated Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Valentin Vacherot came in ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Valentin Vacherot extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardValentin Vacherot6-7(9) 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Vacherot V.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Vacherot V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vacherot V.Rinderknech A.
67
Serve
50
23
Return
1

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
32%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
9.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
58
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
33
6
Deciding sets·Even
95
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1748
6.1Overall Elo 1903
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1780
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
4.3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
4-66-36-3