Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev — Wimbledon Round of 128
CRO
RUS8
Cilic M.
Daniil Medvedev defeated Marin Cilic in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-1, 6-2, 6-4. Medvedev hit 16 aces and converted 88% of his break points, compared to Cilic's 2 aces and 25% conversion rate. Medvedev won 7 service breaks to Cilic's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Daniil Medvedev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–2 6–4.
Head to head
1–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | s Hertogenbosch | QF | grass | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 3-6 6-1 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Marin Cilic | 6-2 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-12-05 | Davis Cup Finals F: RTF vs CRO | RR | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | QF | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-6 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Medvedev D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadCilic M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About