Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevIndian Wells Masters Final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2340ELO
2273Hard ELO
$6.7MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#8ATP
2008ELO
1978Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWLL

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.7+296 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1978
9.1Overall Elo 2340
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 2008
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sinner J.
78772
Medvedev D.
66640

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.80
SlowFast

Head to head

97
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-16Rome MastersSFclayJannik Sinner6-2 5-7 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersQFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassDaniil Medvedev6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenFhardJannik Sinner3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2023-10-23ViennaFhardJannik Sinner7-6(7) 4-6 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingFhardJannik Sinner7-6(2) 7-6(2)
2023-03-20Miami MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3
2023-02-13RotterdamFhardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-0 6-7(5) 7-6(8)
2021-03-08MarseilleQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2020-02-17MarseilleR16hardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-1 6-2

Statistics

Recent form
64%1st serve in+4%68%
82%1st serve points won+7%75%
61%2nd serve points won+12%49%
75%Service points won+8%67%
44%Return points won+3%41%
74%Break points saved+7%67%
7.2Aces / match+0.96.3
1.3Double faults / match+1.83.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[11]
7-667-64