Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev — Indian Wells Masters Final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Final
Jannik Sinner
ITA2
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Daniil Medvedev
RUS11
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Sinner J.
7-6 7-6
Medvedev D.
Sinner J.
78772
Medvedev D.
66640

Jannik Sinner defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–7. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Head to head

9–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-16Rome MastersSFclayJannik Sinner6-2 5-7 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersQFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassDaniil Medvedev6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenFhardJannik Sinner3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2023-10-23ViennaFhardJannik Sinner7-6(7) 4-6 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingFhardJannik Sinner7-6(2) 7-6(2)
2023-03-20Miami MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3
2023-02-13RotterdamFhardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-0 6-7(5) 7-6(8)
2021-03-08MarseilleQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2020-02-17MarseilleR16hardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-1 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Medvedev D.
100
Serve
47
100
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Medvedev D.
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
74%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
60%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
75%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Medvedev D.
Clutch Rating·Even
100
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Medvedev D.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.7+301 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1962
9.1Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1977
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Medvedev D.
Freshness·Clear edge
55
76

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[11]
7-667-64
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[11]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-37-63
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[4]
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Tien L.[25]
6-16-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Norrie C.[27]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[4]
Fils A.[30]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Draper J.[14]
6-17-5
R16
Sinner J.[2]
Fonseca J.
7-667-64
Tien L.[25]
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
4-66-17-64
Medvedev D.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-26-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Ruud C.[13]
6-17-62
Draper J.[14]
Djokovic N.[3]
4-66-47-65
Fils A.[30]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-37-69
Zverev A.[4]
Tiafoe F.[21]
6-36-4
Norrie C.[27]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
R32
Fonseca J.
Paul T.[23]
6-26-3
Michelsen A.
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Sinner J.[2]
Shapovalov D.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[27]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-46-4
Draper J.[14]
Cerundolo F.[19]
6-17-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rinderknech A.[26]
6-766-36-2
Ruud C.[13]
Vacherot V.[24]
3-66-36-4
Fils A.[30]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[4]
Nakashima B.[28]
7-625-76-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Mensik J.[12]
6-24-66-2
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Diallo G.
6-756-36-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Baez S.
6-46-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Kovacevic A.
6-41-66-4
Hijikata R.
Bublik A.[10]
6-737-636-3
Tiafoe F.[21]
Cobolli F.[15]
6-16-2
Tien L.[25]
Shelton B.[8]
7-634-66-3
R64
Tien L.[25]
Walton A.
7-637-68
Sinner J.[2]
Svrcina D.
6-16-1
Fucsovics M.
Musetti L.[5]
7-56-1
Rinderknech A.[26]
Cerundolo J.
W/O
Fils A.[30]
Prizmic D.
6-23-2
Paul T.[23]
Bergs Z.
6-16-2
Michelsen A.
Humbert U.[32]
7-56-757-66
Cerundolo F.[19]
Bonzi B.
6-45-77-65
Tiafoe F.[21]
Brooksby J.
6-46-2
Baez S.
Lehecka J.[22]
6-46-1
Norrie C.[27]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-3
Fonseca J.
Khachanov K.[16]
4-67-676-4
Ruud C.[13]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-64
Hijikata R.
Darderi L.[20]
4-66-26-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Svajda Z.
7-606-2
Medvedev D.[11]
Tabilo A.
6-46-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Borges N.
7-57-5
Kovacevic A.
Moutet C.[31]
6-16-4
Draper J.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Mensik J.[12]
Giron M.
7-57-64
Zverev A.[4]
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Fritz T.[7]
Fearnley J.
6-36-786-1
De Minaur A.[6]
Korda S.
4-66-46-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Majchrzak K.
4-66-16-2
Nakashima B.[28]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-4
Cobolli F.[15]
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Rublev A.[17]
6-747-616-3
Bublik A.[10]
Kopriva V.
3-67-636-2
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Monfils G.
6-756-36-4
Shelton B.[8]
Opelka R.
6-737-646-3
Shapovalov D.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-32-67-65
R128
Kovacevic A.
Hurkacz H.
7-667-64
Kecmanovic M.
Altmaier D.
6-31-0
Bergs Z.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Borges N.
Nava E.
7-697-5
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-23-66-4
Svajda Z.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Fearnley J.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Hijikata R.
Maestrelli F.
7-656-4
Majchrzak K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-31-67-5
Shevchenko A.
Shimabukuro S.
6-43-66-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
4-67-56-3
Berrettini M.
Mannarino A.
4-67-57-5
Diallo G.
Bellucci M.
7-656-4
Kopriva V.
Zheng M.
7-617-5
Fonseca J.
Collignon R.
7-626-4
Brooksby J.
Popyrin A.
6-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Damm M.
7-656-3
Prizmic D.
Schoolkate T.
7-653-67-5
Walton A.
Halys Q.
6-36-3
Svrcina D.
Duckworth J.
6-26-4
Baez S.
Tseng C.
6-36-2
Cerundolo J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-636-756-3
Korda S.
Comesana F.
7-56-0
Mcdonald M.
Arnaldi M.
6-06-1
Monfils G.
Galarneau A.
6-36-4
Bonzi B.
Royer V.
6-46-3
Tabilo A.
Jodar R.
6-16-2
Dimitrov G.
Atmane T.
6-45-76-4
Opelka R.
Quinn E.
7-57-63
Michelsen A.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-4
Bautista Agut R.
Marozsan F.
6-46-726-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-56-3