Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevBeijing Final

Beijing · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Sinner J.
7-6 7-6
Medvedev D.
Sinner J.
77772
Medvedev D.
62620

Jannik Sinner defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6 7-6 in the Beijing final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–7. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Head to head

97
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-16Rome MastersSFclayJannik Sinner6-2 5-7 6-4
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersFhardJannik Sinner7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersQFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassDaniil Medvedev6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenFhardJannik Sinner3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2023-10-23ViennaFhardJannik Sinner7-6(7) 4-6 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3
2023-02-13RotterdamFhardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-0 6-7(5) 7-6(8)
2021-03-08MarseilleQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2020-02-17MarseilleR16hardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Medvedev D.
100
Serve
47
100
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
62%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
100
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.7+301 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1962
9.1Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
60
79

Sinner J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%