Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev — Madrid Masters Round of 16

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Flavio Cobolli
ITA10
Flavio Cobolli
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
Daniil Medvedev
RUS7
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Cobolli F.
6-3 5-7 6-4
Medvedev D.
Cobolli F.
6562
Medvedev D.
3741

Flavio Cobolli defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Flavio Cobolli claimed a first win over Daniil Medvedev in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cobolli F.Medvedev D.
54
Serve
—
54
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cobolli F.Medvedev D.
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cobolli F.Medvedev D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
96
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Dominant
35
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cobolli F.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Medvedev D.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1862
Surface ELO
5.6+27 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1977
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cobolli F.Medvedev D.
Freshness·Dominant
56
82

Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-16-2
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Fils A.[21]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[2]
Blockx A.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-16-4
Fils A.[21]
Lehecka J.[11]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Jodar R.
6-27-60
Blockx A.
Ruud C.[12]
6-46-4
R16
Ruud C.[12]
Tsitsipas S.
6-747-627-63
Sinner J.[1]
Norrie C.[19]
6-27-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Musetti L.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Mensik J.[23]
6-46-746-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medvedev D.[7]
6-35-76-4
Blockx A.
Cerundolo F.[16]
7-686-2
Jodar R.
Kopriva V.
7-56-0
Fils A.[21]
Etcheverry T.[25]
6-36-4
R32
Kopriva V.
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-43-60-0
Ruud C.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-36-1
Tsitsipas S.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-2
Cobolli F.[10]
Vallejo A.
6-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
Atmane T.
6-37-62
Medvedev D.[7]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[19]
Tirante T.
7-57-65
Cerundolo F.[16]
Darderi L.[18]
6-26-3
Sinner J.[1]
Moller E.
6-26-3
Musetti L.[6]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-47-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-46-2
Fils A.[21]
Nava E.
7-626-3
Jodar R.
Fonseca J.[27]
7-644-66-1
Mensik J.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-47-611
Etcheverry T.[25]
Prizmic D.
2-66-46-3
Blockx A.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.[27]
Cilic M.
W/O
Atmane T.
Humbert U.[30]
7-637-65
Moller E.
Diallo G.[32]
7-53-3
Sinner J.[1]
Bonzi B.
6-766-16-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Moutet C.[26]
6-36-4
Jodar R.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-1
Etcheverry T.[25]
Ofner S.
6-46-4
Blockx A.
Nakashima B.[28]
3-66-36-4
Musetti L.[6]
Hurkacz H.
6-47-64
Budkov Kjaer N.
Shapovalov D.[31]
6-26-1
Tsitsipas S.
Bublik A.[8]
6-27-5
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-06-1
Vallejo A.
Tien L.[17]
6-46-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-776-16-4
Cerundolo F.[16]
Hanfmann Y.
6-17-5
Kopriva V.
Rublev A.[9]
6-36-4
Tirante T.
Paul T.[15]
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[7]
Marozsan F.
6-26-736-4
Rinderknech A.[22]
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
Michelsen A.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Lehecka J.[11]
Tabilo A.
3-67-636-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Fils A.[21]
Buse I.
6-747-637-5
Nava E.
Vacherot V.[14]
6-757-616-3
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Gaubas V.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[23]
Damm M.
6-36-4
Prizmic D.
Shelton B.[4]
6-46-747-65
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Navone M.
6-13-66-3
Darderi L.[18]
Cerundolo J.
6-16-3
Norrie C.[19]
Machac T.
6-26-767-65
Khachanov K.[13]
Walton A.
6-26-3
R128
Budkov Kjaer N.
Opelka R.
5-3
Ofner S.
Basilashvili N.
7-657-60
Marozsan F.
Quinn E.
7-657-66
Kopriva V.
Zhang Z.
6-26-0
Jodar R.
De Jong J.
2-67-56-4
Tirante T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Atmane T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-5
Struff J.
Muller A.
7-636-0
Carreno Busta P.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
6-26-4
Moller E.
Cina F.
6-47-64
Buse I.
Mannarino A.
6-46-2
Blockx A.
Garin C.
4-67-57-5
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-37-61
Hanfmann Y.
Giron M.
6-46-737-5
Navone M.
Borges N.
6-36-4
Vallejo A.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-4
Prizmic D.
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.
Faria J.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Royer V.
6-26-4
Walton A.
Landaluce M.
6-26-3
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-1
Machac T.
Comesana F.
3-67-636-3
Cerundolo J.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Nava E.
Brooksby J.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.
Kypson P.
3-67-667-64
Damm M.
Popyrin A.
7-676-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Monfils G.
6-36-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Trungelliti M.
6-41-67-66
Gaubas V.
Baez S.
7-56-1
Bonzi B.
Droguet T.
6-747-646-4