Marin Cilic vs Alexei PopyrinMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Cilic M.
6-4 6-4
Popyrin A.
Cilic M.
662
Popyrin A.
440

Marin Cilic defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #62, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Marin Cilic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24DubaiR16hardMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 6-4
2022-03-21Miami MastersR64hardMarin Cilic6-0 6-3
2021-02-22SingaporeSFhardAlexei Popyrin7-6(5) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Popyrin A.
57
Serve
40
10
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
81%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Even
11.4
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
59
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
42
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+81 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1681
6.1Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1741
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.3
Surface form
2.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
9.1
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Country comfort
4.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
95

Cilic M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Popyrin A.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%