Marin Cilic vs Alexei PopyrinDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Cilic M.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Popyrin A.
Cilic M.
5662
Popyrin A.
7341

Marin Cilic defeated Alexei Popyrin 5-7 6-3 6-4 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #62, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR128hardMarin Cilic6-4 6-4
2022-03-21Miami MastersR64hardMarin Cilic6-0 6-3
2021-02-22SingaporeSFhardAlexei Popyrin7-6(5) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Popyrin A.
57
Serve
40
10
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
64%
Aces / match·Even
9.3
9.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
59
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
41
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+81 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1681
6.1Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1741
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.2
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
9.2
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%