Flavio Cobolli vs Marin Cilic — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
Flavio Cobolli
ITA9
Flavio Cobolli
#10ATP
1896ELO
1742Grass ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Marin Cilic
CRO
Marin Cilic
#62ATP
1800ELO
1756Grass ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Cobolli F.
6-4 6-4 6-7 7-6
Cilic M.
Cobolli F.
6664773
Cilic M.
4477631

Flavio Cobolli defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 6-4 6-7 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayFlavio Cobolli6-2 6-1 6-3
2023-07-24UmagR32clayFlavio Cobolli6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Cobolli F.Cilic M.
1st serve in·Even
55%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
9.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cobolli F.Cilic M.
Clutch Rating·Even
76
76
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Slight edge
35
41
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cobolli F.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Cilic M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1742
Surface ELO
5.3+14 Grass Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
8.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
5.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cobolli F.Cilic M.
Freshness·Dominant
61
98

Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-66-46-46-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fritz T.[6]
6-45-76-37-66
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[7]
6-36-36-4
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[6]
Khachanov K.[19]
6-36-41-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Cobolli F.[9]
6-766-27-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Norrie C.[26]
6-26-36-3
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[4]
7-626-46-4
R16
Cobolli F.[9]
Cilic M.
6-46-46-747-63
Norrie C.[26]
Jarry N.
6-37-646-776-756-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Rublev A.[12]
6-756-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-26-3
Djokovic N.[7]
De Minaur A.[5]
1-66-46-46-4
Shelton B.[4]
Sonego L.
3-66-17-617-5
Sinner J.[1]
Dimitrov G.
3-65-72-2
Fritz T.[6]
Thompson J.
6-13-0
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Martinez P.[19]
6-16-36-1
De Minaur A.[5]
Holmgren A.[24]
6-47-656-3
Norrie C.[26]
Bellucci M.
7-656-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Borges N.
7-664-64-66-37-68
Fritz T.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-46-36-756-1
Dimitrov G.
Ofner S.
6-36-47-60
Thompson J.
Darderi L.[14]
6-46-43-66-3
Shelton B.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-646-2
Sonego L.
Nakashima B.[28]
6-757-687-623-67-63
Majchrzak K.
Rinderknech A.[25]
6-37-647-66
Jarry N.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-36-43-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-06-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Struff J.
6-13-66-36-4
Cilic M.
Munar J.
6-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[12]
Mannarino A.
7-56-26-3
Cobolli F.[9]
Mensik J.[15]
6-26-46-2
R64
Holmgren A.[24]
Machac T.[21]
7-656-786-757-57-65
Sonego L.
Basilashvili N.[6]
6-16-36-737-64
Martinez P.[19]
Navone M.
7-57-57-66
Alcaraz C.[2]
Tarvet O.
6-16-46-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Mochizuki S.
1-67-674-66-36-4
Borges N.
Harris B.
6-36-47-67
Shelton B.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-27-56-4
Bellucci M.
Lehecka J.[13]
7-646-17-5
Djokovic N.[7]
Evans D.
6-36-26-0
Rublev A.[12]
Harris L.
6-716-47-656-3
Rinderknech A.[25]
Garin C.
3-66-37-634-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-14-66-37-65
Struff J.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
3-67-696-36-4
Norrie C.[26]
Tiafoe F.[17]
4-66-46-37-5
Darderi L.[14]
Fery A.
6-46-36-3
Jarry N.
Tien L.[16]
6-26-26-3
Ofner S.
Paul T.[21]
1-67-56-47-5
Cobolli F.[9]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-17-666-2
Nakashima B.[28]
Opelka R.
7-56-26-766-3
Fucsovics M.
Monfils G.
6-41-64-67-656-4
Cilic M.
Draper J.[4]
6-46-31-66-4
Mannarino A.
Royer V.
6-46-45-77-61
Thompson J.
Bonzi B.
7-56-724-66-26-4
Munar J.
Marozsan F.
6-26-37-69
Kecmanovic M.
De Jong J.
1-66-36-26-4
Sinner J.[1]
Vukic A.
6-16-16-3
Fritz T.[6]
Diallo G.
3-66-37-604-66-3
De Minaur A.[5]
Cazaux A.
4-66-26-46-0
Majchrzak K.
Quinn E.
6-16-46-3
Fonseca J.[24]
Brooksby J.
6-45-76-26-4
Mensik J.[15]
Giron M.
6-43-66-47-64
Dimitrov G.
Moutet C.
7-54-67-57-5
R128
Basilashvili N.[6]
Musetti L.[7]
6-24-67-56-1
Moutet C.
Comesana F.[1]
6-46-46-2
Martinez P.[19]
Loffhagen G.
2-66-26-46-2
Holmgren A.[24]
Halys Q.
7-646-36-4
Quinn E.
Searle H.
4-66-27-6116-2
Tarvet O.
Riedi L.
6-46-46-4
Harris B.
Lajovic D.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Faria J.
6-36-46-2
Mensik J.[15]
Gaston H.
6-14-66-26-2
Darderi L.[14]
Safiullin R.
7-631-66-726-36-1
Khachanov K.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-46-4
Mochizuki S.
Zeppieri G.
2-63-66-37-667-5
Nakashima B.[28]
Yunchaokete B.[3]
6-44-67-616-4
Paul T.[21]
Monday J.
6-46-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Muller A.
6-16-776-26-2
Tiafoe F.[17]
Moller E.
6-36-46-2
Tien L.[16]
Basavareddy N.
7-656-36-2
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.[8]
7-623-67-636-2
Shelton B.[4]
Bolt A.
6-47-617-64
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Duckworth J.
6-23-66-726-46-4
Rinderknech A.[25]
Zverev A.[2]
7-636-786-36-756-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Arnaldi M.[32]
7-647-656-4
Rublev A.[12]
Djere L.
6-07-656-797-66
Borges N.
Cerundolo F.[18]
4-66-37-656-0
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[27]
6-43-66-757-56-2
Pinnington Jones J.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-646-37-5
Norrie C.[26]
Bautista Agut R.
6-33-66-47-63
De Minaur A.[5]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-27-62
Lehecka J.[13]
Dellien H.
4-66-26-27-60
Dimitrov G.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-36-4
Fery A.
Popyrin A.[20]
6-46-14-66-4
Fonseca J.[24]
Fearnley J.
6-46-17-65
Cobolli F.[9]
Zhukayev B.
6-37-676-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Holt B.
6-26-47-5
Ofner S.
Medjedovic H.
7-683-1
Draper J.[4]
Baez S.
6-26-22-1
Royer V.
Tsitsipas S.[24]
6-36-2
Harris L.
Bergs Z.
7-677-626-756-2
Opelka R.
Shevchenko A.
6-37-57-64
Giron M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-667-646-3
De Jong J.
Eubanks C.
6-36-756-776-37-63
Diallo G.
Altmaier D.
6-16-26-4
Munar J.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-64-67-656-2
Garin C.
Rodesch C.
7-686-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fognini F.
7-56-757-52-66-1
Struff J.
Misolic F.
6-25-76-36-3
Jarry N.
Rune H.[8]
4-64-67-56-36-4
Hijikata R.
Goffin D.
6-36-16-1
Machac T.[21]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-756-15-76-4
Navone M.
Shapovalov D.[27]
3-66-46-16-4
Brooksby J.
Griekspoor T.[31]
6-27-56-3
Cazaux A.
Walton A.
6-37-664-66-756-1
Sinner J.[1]
Nardi L.
6-46-36-0
Majchrzak K.
Berrettini M.[32]
4-66-26-45-76-3
Thompson J.
Kopriva V.
3-64-66-37-616-1
Evans D.
Clarke J.
6-17-56-2
Vukic A.
Tseng C.
6-36-44-67-65
Marozsan F.
Mccabe J.
6-16-46-3
Bellucci M.
Crawford O.
6-726-36-46-4
Mannarino A.
Oconnell C.
6-26-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Michelsen A.[30]
6-23-66-33-67-66
Cilic M.
Collignon R.
6-36-46-3
Fritz T.[6]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-766-786-47-666-4