Daniil Medvedev vs Jack DraperIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Medvedev D.
6-1 7-5
Draper J.
Medvedev D.
672
Draper J.
150

Daniil Medvedev defeated Jack Draper 6-1 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Medvedev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-06Rome MastersR64clayDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Draper J.
47
Serve
94
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.3
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
83
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+180 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1783
6.2Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1822
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
7.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.9
Context
8.5
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
100

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Draper J.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%