Arthur Rinderknech vs Daniil MedvedevShanghai Masters Semi-final

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Rinderknech A.
4-6 6-2 6-4
Medvedev D.
Rinderknech A.
4662
Medvedev D.
6241

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Daniil Medvedev 4-6 6-2 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Arthur Rinderknech claimed a first win over Daniil Medvedev in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Medvedev D.
50
Serve
47
1
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.9
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
6
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
7.6+215 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1977
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
3.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
82

Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%
Semi-finals
Vacherot V.
Djokovic N.[4]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.
Medvedev D.[16]
4-66-26-4