Jannik Sinner vs Marin CilicBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · ATP · Round of 32
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 September 2025
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Sinner J.
6-2 6-2
Cilic M.
Sinner J.
662
Cilic M.
220

Jannik Sinner defeated Marin Cilic 6-2 6-2 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-29Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs CRORRhardJannik Sinner3-6 7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Cilic M.
100
Serve
57
100
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
73%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
9.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
76
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+502 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1762
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.0
Surface form
3.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
98

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 44%