Jannik Sinner vs Marin CilicDavis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs CRO Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs CRO · ATP · Round Robin
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 November 2021
hard
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Sinner J.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Cilic M.
Sinner J.
37762
Cilic M.
66431

Jannik Sinner defeated Marin Cilic 3-6 7-6 6-3 in the Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs CRO round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingR32hardJannik Sinner6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Cilic M.
100
Serve
57
100
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
10.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 191). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
76
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+502 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1762
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
5.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
43
98

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About