Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev — Halle Quarter-final
Altmaier D.
Daniel Altmaier faces Daniil Medvedev in the Halle quarter-final on grass. Daniil Medvedev holds the paper edge — ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Medvedev D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Daniel Altmaier comes in with 2 days of rest and 55 games in 14d, vs Daniil Medvedev's 1 and 95.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Daniil Medvedev has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 96 vs 70).
- Last match: Daniel Altmaier dropped the opening set before beating Hubert Hurkacz 3–6 6–3 7–5.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAltmaier D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | R32 | grass | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-3 |