Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De MinaurShanghai Masters Quarter-final

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-4
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.
662
De Minaur A.
440

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in leading the head-to-head 7–4, defending last year's quarter-final. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 8–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Medvedev edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

74
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayAlex De Minaur4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(7) 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 2-6 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2020-11-02Paris MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2018-08-20Winston-SalemR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2018-01-08SydneyFhardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.De Minaur A.
47
Serve
48
94
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1935
5.2Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1961
5.8
H2H
4.2
5.6
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
4.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.4
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
73

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%