Alex De Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alex De Minaur
AUS
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
Daniil Medvedev
RUS4
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
De Minaur A.
6-4 2-6 7-5
Medvedev D.
De Minaur A.
6272
Medvedev D.
4651

Alex De Minaur defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-4 2-6 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in leading the head-to-head 8–3, defending last year's final. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 8–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–5.

Head to head

3–8
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayAlex De Minaur4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(7) 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2020-11-02Paris MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2018-08-20Winston-SalemR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2018-01-08SydneyFhardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-4 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
48
Serve
47
80
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
Clutch Rating·Even
95
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Medvedev D.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1935
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.4
Surface form
8.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
5.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
85

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Final
Rune H.
Djokovic N.[6]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-16-4
Djokovic N.[6]
Musetti L.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Paul T.
6-26-4
Rune H.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-36-6
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-16-3
Rune H.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
De Minaur A.
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Simon G.
6-16-3
Djokovic N.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Ruud C.[3]
4-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Moutet C.
6-37-63
Paul T.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Fognini F.
6-07-5
Rune H.
Hurkacz H.[10]
7-56-1
Rublev A.[7]
Isner J.
6-26-3
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
Draper J.
6-37-5
Simon G.
Fritz T.[9]
7-55-76-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ymer M.
6-766-47-66
Djokovic N.[6]
Cressy M.
7-616-4
Khachanov K.
Huesler M.
6-34-66-4
Musetti L.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[3]
Gasquet R.
6-17-67
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Moutet C.
Norrie C.[12]
6-35-77-63
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Shapovalov D.
7-622-66-4
Paul T.
Nadal R.[2]
3-67-646-1
R64
Norrie C.[12]
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-4
Nishioka Y.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Fils A.
7-656-746-2
Rune H.
Wawrinka S.
4-67-57-63
Isner J.
Otte O.
6-47-63
De Minaur A.
Korda S.
6-44-66-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-2
Cressy M.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-3
Khachanov K.
Baez S.
6-16-1
Huesler M.
Sinner J.[11]
6-26-3
Musetti L.
Cilic M.[15]
6-46-4
Basilashvili N.
Halys Q.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Molcan A.
6-36-1
Evans D.
Nakashima B.
6-33-66-4
Moutet C.
Coric B.
3-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Ramos A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.
Cerundolo F.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Hurkacz H.[10]
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Simon G.
Murray A.
4-67-56-3
Ymer M.
Bublik A.
6-16-726-4