Alex De Minaur vs Daniil MedvedevCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
De Minaur A.
7-6 7-5
Medvedev D.
De Minaur A.
7972
Medvedev D.
6750

Alex De Minaur defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6 7-5 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in leading the head-to-head 8–3, defending last year's round of 32. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 8–4.

Key context

Head to head

38
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayAlex De Minaur4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 2-6 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2020-11-02Paris MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2018-08-20Winston-SalemR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2018-01-08SydneyFhardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
48
Serve
47
80
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1935
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1977
3.9
H2H
6.1
6.7
Surface form
9.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
85

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%