Alex De Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev — Monte Carlo Masters Round of 16

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alex De Minaur
AUS8
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Daniil Medvedev
RUS9
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
De Minaur A.
6-2 6-2
Medvedev D.
De Minaur A.
662
Medvedev D.
220

Alex De Minaur defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-2 6-2 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in leading the head-to-head 8–3, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 8–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–8
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayAlex De Minaur4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(7) 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 2-6 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2020-11-02Paris MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2018-08-20Winston-SalemR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2018-01-08SydneyFhardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-4 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
—
Serve
—
39
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
Clutch Rating·Even
95
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Medvedev D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1869
Surface ELO
5.3+20 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1977
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.3
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
85

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Musetti L.[13]
3-66-16-0
Semi-finals
Musetti L.[13]
De Minaur A.[8]
1-66-47-64
Alcaraz C.[2]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
De Minaur A.[8]
Dimitrov G.[15]
6-06-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Popyrin A.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fils A.[12]
4-67-56-3
Musetti L.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[6]
1-66-36-4
R16
Musetti L.[13]
Berrettini M.
6-36-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-36-1
Fils A.[12]
Rublev A.[7]
6-26-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Borges N.
6-16-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Draper J.[5]
6-36-766-4
Popyrin A.
Ruud C.[4]
6-43-67-5
Dimitrov G.[15]
Tabilo A.
6-33-66-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-26-2
R32
Borges N.
Martinez P.
7-56-746-4
Altmaier D.
Gasquet R.
7-55-76-2
Popyrin A.
Tiafoe F.[14]
3-66-36-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Cerundolo F.
3-66-06-1
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Thompson J.
4-66-46-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Machac T.
3-66-06-3
Musetti L.[13]
Lehecka J.
1-67-56-2
Tabilo A.
Djokovic N.[3]
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Etcheverry T.
7-626-3
Ruud C.[4]
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-1
Fils A.[12]
Cobolli F.
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[15]
Vacherot V.
4-66-36-1
Medvedev D.[9]
Muller A.
7-665-76-2
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.[1]
2-66-37-5
Rublev A.[7]
Monfils G.
6-47-62
Draper J.[5]
Giron M.
6-16-1
R64
Vacherot V.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Borges N.
Rune H.[10]
6-23-0
Medvedev D.[9]
Khachanov K.
7-54-66-4
Cobolli F.
Lajovic D.
6-46-2
Cerundolo F.
Fognini F.
6-06-3
Giron M.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-65
Musetti L.[13]
Yunchaokete B.
4-67-56-3
Lehecka J.
Korda S.
6-37-67
Berrettini M.
Navone M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-3
Martinez P.
Sonego L.
6-41-66-2
Tabilo A.
Wawrinka S.
1-67-57-5
Dimitrov G.[15]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Muller A.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-4
Machac T.
Baez S.
3-66-36-2
Etcheverry T.
Moutet C.
4-66-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shelton B.[11]
6-726-26-1
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
6-25-77-65
Popyrin A.
Humbert U.
3-67-626-4
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-1
Fils A.[12]
Griekspoor T.
6-736-46-2
Altmaier D.
Auger Aliassime F.[16]
7-656-3
Gasquet R.
Arnaldi M.
6-34-66-4