Alex De Minaur vs Daniil MedvedevRoland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 16
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
De Minaur A.
4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3
Medvedev D.
De Minaur A.
46663
Medvedev D.
62131

Alex De Minaur defeated Daniil Medvedev 4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in leading the head-to-head 8–3, defending last year's round of 128. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 8–4.

Key context

Head to head

38
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(7) 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 2-6 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2020-11-02Paris MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2018-08-20Winston-SalemR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2018-01-08SydneyFhardDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Medvedev D.
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1869
Surface ELO
5.3+20 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1977
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.9
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
82

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%
R128
Misolic F.
Virtanen O.[16]
4-64-66-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[3]
Herbert P.
6-47-636-4
Dimitrov G.[10]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-4
Rublev A.[11]
Daniel T.
6-26-736-37-5
Ruud C.[15]
Meligeni Alves F.
6-36-46-3
Musetti L.[30]
Galan D.
6-36-37-5
Kotov P.
Norrie C.[32]
4-66-33-67-656-2
Altmaier D.
Djere L.
7-56-46-765-77-66
Kwon S.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-46-3
Marozsan F.
Kukushkin M.
6-26-26-3
Rune H.[13]
Evans D.
6-46-46-4
Shapovalov D.
Van Assche L.
6-36-46-4
Korda S.[27]
Mayot H.
6-27-646-4
Machac T.
Borges N.
7-636-46-3
Shevchenko A.
Karatsev A.
6-44-61-66-16-4
Kovalik J.
Giron M.
7-636-43-67-65
Marterer M.
Thompson J.
6-36-26-0
Navone M.[31]
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-16-36-0
Muller A.
Nardi L.
6-46-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Eubanks C.
6-36-36-4
Zeppieri G.
Mannarino A.[22]
4-66-26-16-2
Bergs Z.
Tabilo A.[24]
3-67-656-26-2
Bublik A.[9]
Barrere G.
6-47-56-3
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Nishioka Y.
6-26-46-4
Tiafoe F.[19]
Bellucci M.
6-33-66-766-46-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-41-66-2
Carballes Baena R.
Lestienne C.
6-37-54-66-2
Gasquet R.
Coric B.
7-657-626-4
Goffin D.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
4-66-46-36-746-3
Kecmanovic M.
Monteiro T.
6-26-14-67-5
Kokkinakis T.
Popyrin A.
4-67-686-35-76-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medjedovic H.
6-26-36-726-3
Darderi L.[14]
Hijikata R.
6-37-666-1
Lajovic D.[20]
Safiullin R.
4-67-56-46-766-4
Monfils G.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-23-66-36-4
Munar J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-14-66-46-1
Nishikori K.
Diallo G.
7-57-633-61-67-5
Ofner S.
Atmane T.
3-64-67-626-27-5
Squire H.
Purcell M.
6-26-23-64-67-610
Struff J.
Burruchaga R.
6-36-26-1
Martinez P.[24]
Tirante T.
5-76-43-66-46-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-16-766-36-2
Wawrinka S.
Murray A.
6-46-46-2
Zhang Z.
Vukic A.
6-44-66-37-5
Cerundolo F.[25]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-36-4
Baez S.[20]
Heide G.
4-66-36-14-66-3
De Jong J.
Draper J.
7-56-46-733-66-3
Arnaldi M.
Fils A.[29]
6-34-66-46-2
Fognini F.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-17-5
Hurkacz H.[8]
Mochizuki S.[19]
4-66-33-66-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Fucsovics M.
7-676-46-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wolf J.
6-16-26-1
Moutet C.[30]
Jarry N.[16]
6-26-13-66-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-16-06-2
Fritz T.[7]
Coria F.
2-66-16-26-1
Shelton B.[5]
Gaston H.
3-66-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[13]
Nagal S.
6-26-07-65
Etcheverry T.[23]
Cazaux A.
3-66-26-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Vacherot V.[16]
4-66-26-27-62
Medvedev D.[6]
Koepfer D.
6-36-45-76-3
Sonego L.
Humbert U.[32]
6-42-66-46-3
Rinderknech A.[22]
Walton A.
6-26-47-5
Paul T.[24]
Cachin P.
6-26-36-1
Zverev A.[2]
Nadal R.
6-37-656-3