Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev — Halle Round of 16
Atmane T.
Terence Atmane faces Daniil Medvedev in the Halle round of 16 on grass. Daniil Medvedev holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Medvedev D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Terence Atmane 51 games in 14 days, Daniil Medvedev 76.
- Under pressure: Daniil Medvedev has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 96 vs Terence Atmane's 58).
- Head-to-head: Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Australian Open 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAtmane T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on HERISTO-ARENA · not before Followed By · 3 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Bergs Z. v Fritz T.
- 2Shelton B. v Sonego L.
- 3Tien L. v Auger Aliassime F.
- 4Atmane T. v Medvedev D.This match
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 RET |