Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Ofner — Wimbledon Round of 64
Hurkacz H.
Hubert Hurkacz faces Sebastian Ofner in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Hubert Hurkacz holds the paper edge — ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Hurkacz H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Hubert Hurkacz 47 games in 14 days, Sebastian Ofner 127.
- Last match: Sebastian Ofner dropped the opening set before beating Hamad Medjedovic 1–6 6–2 4–6 6–3 6–4.
- Head-to-head: Hubert Hurkacz leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Geneva 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHurkacz H.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ofner S.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | SF | clay | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-4 |