Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian OfnerWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#69ATP
1798ELO
1700Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 1st on
#127ATP
1713ELO
1635Grass ELO
$349kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Hurkacz H.
7-6 6-4 6-4
Ofner S.
Hurkacz H.
7663
Ofner S.
6440

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Sebastian Ofner in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Hurkacz. Hurkacz served 13 aces and converted 67% of his break points, ultimately securing two service breaks to Ofner's one.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaSFclayHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2016-05-16Czech Republic F2R32clayHubert Hurkacz6-2 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.6
8.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
67
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
88
Break points won·Dominant
16
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Hurkacz H.73%
Ofner S.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hurkacz H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+65 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1635
6.1Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1713
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in United Kingdom (24)
Country comfort
5.6Won 60% in United Kingdom (20)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
82

Hurkacz H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw