Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin DammWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#28ATP
1780ELO
1645Grass ELO
$832kYTD
$7.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#106ATP
1719ELO
1667Grass ELO
$314kYTD
$886kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLL
Rinderknech A.
vs
Damm M.

Arthur Rinderknech faces Martin Damm in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Arthur Rinderknech holds the paper edge — ranked #28, defending last year's round of 32.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:22 UTC
Rinderknech A.49%
Damm M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1645
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1719
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.3Won 55% in GBR (22)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
31%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.2
12.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Damm M.

Damm M.serving97% hold

wins 79% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Slight edge
6
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Rinderknech A.Damm M.
Serve
0
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Rinderknech A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Damm M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Kwon S.
Paul T.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.