Alex De Minaur vs Arthur RinderknechBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 September 2025
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
De Minaur A.
6-3 3-6 7-6
Rinderknech A.
De Minaur A.
63772
Rinderknech A.
36621

Alex De Minaur defeated Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 3-6 7-6 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Rinderknech A.
48
Serve
50
80
Return
1

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
32%
Break points saved·Even
64%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
9.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
58
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
6
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+188 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1748
7.1Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
3.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
80

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 44%