Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander ZverevShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Rinderknech A.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Zverev A.
Rinderknech A.
4662
Zverev A.
6321

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Alexander Zverev 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 16. Arthur Rinderknech extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassArthur Rinderknech7-6(3) 6-7(8) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Zverev A.
50
Serve
71
1
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.9
7.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
94
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
6
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
8.4+294 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 2100
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
4.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
80
45

Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%