Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Botic Van De ZandschulpWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#96ATP
1636ELO
1477Grass ELO
$637kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
1 — 3
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 7 · 1st on
#59ATP
1743ELO
1595Grass ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Kovacevic A.
3-6 7-6 4-6 0-6
Van De Zandschulp B.
Kovacevic A.
37401
Van De Zandschulp B.
66663

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-0 in favor of Van De Zandschulp. Key stats included 19 aces and 6 service breaks for Van De Zandschulp, compared to 13 aces and 1 service break for Kovacevic.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08Rome MastersR64clayBotic Van De Zandschulp2-6 6-2 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
7.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
68
Break points saved·Even
90
93
Break points won·Dominant
0
51
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
34
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Kovacevic A.28%
Van De Zandschulp B.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Van De Zandschulp B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Grass Elo 1490
Surface ELO
6.3+105 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1645
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1744
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
2.53 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
80

Kovacevic A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw