Roman Safiullin vs Botic Van De ZandschulpWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#132ATP
1732ELO
1618Grass ELO
$192kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#54ATP
1744ELO
1595Grass ELO
$537kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Safiullin R.
vs
Van De Zandschulp B.

Roman Safiullin faces Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Botic Van De Zandschulp is the paper favourite — ranked #54, defending last year's round of 64 — but Roman Safiullin arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last grass matches to Botic Van De Zandschulp's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Safiullin R.55%
Van De Zandschulp B.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1595
4.9Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1744
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in GBR (22)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve advantage — Safiullin R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Clear edge
44
68
Deciding sets·Slight edge
69
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
96

Safiullin R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 102 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
Paul T.
Merida Aguilar D.
Zheng M.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
Fonseca J.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.